Eminent Can Emulate His Famous Dad In The 2,000 Guineas

Eminent Can Emulate His Famous Dad In The 2,000 Guineas
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Eminent Can Emulate His Famous Dad In The 2,000 Guineas

 

Aidan O’Brien has won the 2,000 Guineas seven times and is following the tried and trusted route with Churchill this time. The champion two-year-old from last year is making his seasonal debut at Newmarket in the first Classic of the season on Saturday but others may have progressed over the winter. Eminent can buck the recent trend of horses winning the race first time out.

 

In the last decade horses from Ireland have won the race five times, three trained by O’Brien, there have been four UK based winners and just one trained in France. Only three raced in their three year old season before the Guineas but that figure is distorted by O’Brien’s liking for not giving his best one mile colts an outing before contesting the 2,000 Guineas. Four winners since 2008 had previously won or been placed over a mile and the same number had won a Group 1 race aged two.

The trainer of Al Wukhair can’t see his horse finishing out of the frame and the horse was impressive in winning at Group I level in France. Andre Fabre doesn’t send a horse to England for a Group I race for the fun of it and often brings live chances. He won the 2,000 Guineas in 1995 and his last runner in the race, Territories, was second to Gleneagles two year ago. Al Wukhir looks suited to a mile after winning one of the key trails in France over one furlong less but winning the race may be beyond him.

 

The Craven Stakes is run over the same course and distance as the Classic and is perceived as a key trial. However, Haafhd in 2004 was the last horse to win both races. That record could be improved this year because Eminent looks a potential winner of the Guineas. The horse is proven over one mile and handled the vagaries of the straight course at Newmarket in the Craven. Eminent’s Dad just happens to be called Frankel and that horse win the 2,000 Guineas in 2011 during an unbeaten career of 14 starts from the age of two to four.

Eminent won this year’s Craven Stakes impressively and is an improving colt. Relatively young horses can make advances in ability over weeks rather than months and years. Eminent beat Rivet in the Craven and that horse won the Group 1 Racing Post Trophy on his last run as a two-year-old. Rivet might not be best suited to the Rowley Mile but the value of the form is not in doubt.  Eminent could get further than a mile but class should see the horse win the 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket.

 

Barney Boy won the Greenham Stakes by two lengths from Dream Castle who is also a son of Frankel. One of the best horses in the history of the sport can father a Classic winner for the first time in the 2,000 Guineas but his name is more likely to be Eminent than Dream Castle who can still make the payout places behind his half-brother. Churchill looks a vulnerable favourite despite O’Brien’s record in the race.

 

So, Eminent is the tip to win the 2,000 Guineas of 2017. You can back the horse at 5/1 with bet365 who offer one quarter the odds for the first three places which is virtually a bet to nothing because Eminent looks nailed on to make the frame at least.    

If you Fancy Churchill then Coral are offering

2000 GUINEAS NEWMARKET – MAX BET £1

Available 8am Tuesday 2nd until post time 3.35pm on Saturday 6th May

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